BTC, or, gold, crude oil all went crazy! Tonight's non-farm payrolls could trigger a real big move

Recently, the global markets have entered a strange state:
Bad news is increasing, but everyone no longer knows which to fear first.
After the US confirmed intercepting an Iranian attack, the Middle East situation has become tense again.
The risk in the Strait of Hormuz has increased,
and the global energy market has started to stir.
Oil prices fluctuate violently,
gold strengthens,
and BTC drops below $80,000.
Many people feel that BTC is not "a safe haven" enough.
Actually, this is quite normal.
In true panic,
 funds prefer the US dollar and gold.
BTC currently resembles more a "high-volatility growth asset."
So once market risk appetite declines, it usually takes a hit first.
But tonight's real key still depends on non-farm payrolls.
Because right now, the core of all market movements is only one sentence:
"When will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates?"
If non-farm payrolls remain strong, it indicates the US economy is still hot, and the probability of the Fed maintaining high interest rates will increase.
BTC may continue to be under short-term pressure.
But if the data weakens, the market will quickly restart the rate cut trading.
At that point, risk assets are very likely to rebound collectively.
So tonight, a classic scenario is highly probable:
Before the data release,
 everyone analyzes macroeconomics;
After the data release,
 everyone begins emotional trading.
And BTC will continue to play that role:
24/7,
 always the first to be hit,
 but also the most vigorous rebounder in the "financial nightclub."#美伊冲突再升级