Ethereum supply increases by 81,800 ETH! Market pressure intensifies—Can the $1,881 support hold?

Quick core conclusion overview: Ethereum has net increased by approximately 81,800 ETH in the past 30 days, with an annual inflation rate of about 0.82%. In the short term, this constitutes mild inflation, exerting indirect pressure on the $1881 support level but not causing an immediate breakdown. Currently priced around $2015, support levels are seen at 1950-1910, strong support at 1881, and resistance initially at 2050-2060.

📊 Key data and analysis

- Supply scope: The data covers a net increase of 81,790.88 ETH over the past 30 days, with a total of approximately 12.157 million ETH, and an annual inflation rate of about 0.82%.
- Cause breakdown: Staking rewards issuance (PoS) exceeds EIP-1559 burns, resulting in net inflation, but at a moderate growth rate.
- On-chain status: Exchange balances are near a ten-year low, staking rates are at an all-time high, and liquidity is relatively tight.

🛡️ Support levels and operational ideas

- Short-term pattern: Price is trapped between the psychological barrier of $2000 and the $2050 range, with 1881 serving as a strong support zone.
- Scenario analysis:
- Hold at 1881: Slightly oscillate and recover, with a rebound targeting 2050-2060;
- Break below 1881 with volume: look towards 1850-1820, with strict risk control.
- Operational suggestions:
- Long positions: Rebound to 1910-1930 for stabilization, lightly try long positions, stop-loss below 1880;
- Short positions: Encounter resistance at 2050-2060 on rebound, lightly short, stop-loss above 2075.

⚠️ Risk warning

- Regulatory developments, ETF capital flows, and large whale transfers may amplify volatility;
- Supply impact is a medium-term marginal variable, with short-term focus on technical and capital resonance.

One sentence summary: Mild inflation from supply does not change the short-term oscillation pattern; $1881 is a key defensive line. Holding it can lead to zone recovery, but a breakdown requires cautious risk management. #震荡行情交易策略