Corporate Treasuries Hold 1.2 Million BTC: Reassessing Bitcoin’s Circulating Supply and Scarcity Structure

Markets
更新済み: 2026/05/09 07:09

The price movement of Bitcoin has never been just about the ups and downs on a candlestick chart. Every BTC circulating in the market reflects the ongoing tug-of-war between supply and demand. In 2026, a fundamental shift is rewriting this equation: corporate treasuries are absorbing Bitcoin’s circulating supply at an unprecedented pace.

According to Gate market data, as of May 9, 2026, the Bitcoin price stands at $80,465.7, with a market capitalization of approximately $1.61 trillion, up 1.27% in the past 24 hours. Market sentiment is neutral. However, these price figures mask a deeper structural change—by the end of Q1 2026, publicly listed companies worldwide collectively held roughly 1,217,574 BTC, valued at about $97.82 billion, representing 5.798% of the total supply. Bitwise data shows that, during the same period, listed companies’ Bitcoin holdings reached 1.15 million BTC, or 5.47% of total supply. Regardless of the methodology, the conclusion is clear: corporations are becoming one of the largest buyers of Bitcoin’s circulating supply.

Between 1.15 Million and 1.22 Million BTC Locked by Corporations

In May 2026, Bitwise Asset Management reported that publicly listed companies net purchased 50,351 BTC in Q1 2026, a 4.59% increase from the previous quarter, marking a record high in corporate Bitcoin holdings. Including private companies, total corporate holdings are estimated to have surpassed 1.2 million BTC, about 5.7% of total supply.

This growth occurred amid a highly turbulent market. In Q1 2026, energy supply shocks triggered by geopolitical conflicts compounded a Bitcoin price drop of over 20%, with the quarterly closing price at just $67,805. Yet, during this period of price pressure, some companies not only refrained from selling but accelerated their accumulation.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin reserves on exchanges continue to shrink. CoinGlass data from May 8, 2026, shows that major centralized exchanges collectively hold about 2,451,555 BTC. Binance’s reserves fell from nearly 670,000 BTC on February 21 to around 620,000 BTC by May 7. Binance, OKX, and Gemini together lost nearly 100,000 BTC since February 2026, with exchange reserves dropping to their lowest levels since the end of 2023. The ongoing decline in available inventory on exchanges stands in stark contrast to the surge in corporate holdings, creating a pronounced supply-demand gap.

A Balance Sheet Revolution That Began in 2020

Corporate Bitcoin holdings aren’t new to 2026, but the current scale and structural features are fundamentally different from previous cycles. Here’s a factual timeline of key milestones:

August 2020: MicroStrategy (now renamed Strategy) announced Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset, pioneering corporate BTC reserve strategies. At the time, no one could have predicted that a business intelligence software company would, in six years, reinvent itself as a Bitcoin-centric enterprise.

2020–2025: Strategy continued to accumulate Bitcoin through cash reserves, debt financing, convertible notes, and equity financing. More listed companies followed suit, forming the first cohort of "corporate Bitcoin holders," mainly tech firms and mining companies. By the end of 2025, Strategy achieved an annual BTC Yield of 22.8%, added roughly 101,873 BTC, and launched the STRC perpetual preferred stock to broaden funding sources.

December 2024: The US Financial Accounting Standards Board implemented fair value measurement rules for crypto assets, requiring companies to revalue Bitcoin and other digital assets at quarter-end market prices and reflect changes directly in their income statements. This accounting change introduced new financial reporting challenges for corporate Bitcoin holdings.

2025: The US federal government established a strategic Bitcoin reserve framework via executive order, incorporating government-seized Bitcoin into reserve assets.

Q1 2026: Strategy acquired about 89,600 BTC for approximately $5.5 billion, marking its second-largest quarterly purchase ever. Japanese-listed Metaplanet added roughly 5,075 BTC, raising its holdings to 40,177 BTC and becoming the world’s third-largest corporate holder. GameStop completed a $1.5 billion convertible note issuance, explicitly earmarking proceeds for Bitcoin purchases. Meanwhile, listed mining companies collectively sold over 32,000 BTC in Q1—more than their total sales in all of 2025—setting a new single-quarter record.

May 2026: Strive disclosed a $33.9 million purchase of 444 BTC, pushing its total holdings past 15,000 BTC, with a QTD yield of 4.3% and a YTD yield of 18.7%. Strategy revealed its year-to-date Bitcoin gains reached $5.1 billion.

Portfolio Landscape and Quantitative Evidence of Supply Contraction

Corporate Holdings Overview

Corporate Bitcoin holdings are highly concentrated. Here’s a breakdown of major public companies’ Bitcoin holdings as of early May 2026 (data compiled from Bitwise, Glassnode, SEC filings, and public disclosures):

Global Ranking of Major Public Companies’ Bitcoin Holdings (as of early May 2026)

Company/Entity Holdings (BTC) % of Total Supply Key Characteristics
Strategy (MSTR) 818,334 ~3.90% Largest corporate holder globally; Q1 added ~89,600 BTC at avg. cost ~$75,537
Metaplanet 40,177 ~0.19% Japanese-listed; "Asia’s Strategy"; Q1 added ~5,075 BTC
MARA Holdings ~38,689 ~0.18% Second-largest listed mining company; Q1 sold ~15,133 BTC for debt management
Galaxy Digital 25,723 ~0.12% Crypto financial services firm
Riot Platforms 15,680 ~0.07% Listed mining company; Q1 sold 3,778 BTC
Coinbase 15,389 ~0.07% Crypto exchange; Bitcoin as corporate asset allocation
Strive 15,000 ~0.07% Surpassed 15,000 BTC in May 2026
Hut 8 13,696 ~0.07% Listed mining company
CleanSpark 13,363 ~0.06% Listed mining company
Tesla 11,509 ~0.05% No reported activity in 2026; silent holding
Trump Media & Technology 9,542 ~0.05% Converted part of BTC to long-term strategic reserves
Block (SQ) 8,883 ~0.04% Jack Dorsey’s company; maintains long-term reserve strategy
GameStop ~4,710 ~0.02% Purchased with cash in 2025; completed $1.5B convertible note in Q1

Data sources: Glassnode, Bitwise, SEC filings, and public disclosures

Key Findings:

First, holdings are highly concentrated. Strategy alone holds about 818,334 BTC, roughly 67% of all public company holdings. Including the top five companies, concentration exceeds 80%.

Second, corporate types are diversifying. Early holders were mainly tech and mining firms; by 2026, retail (GameStop), social media (Trump Media), and other non-traditional players have joined.

Third, accumulation and selling coexist. According to LaikaLabs, Strategy accounted for roughly 93% of the 68,500 BTC net corporate accumulation in Q1, while most other companies’ buying power has sharply declined. This divergence reveals the heterogeneous nature of corporate Bitcoin holdings: a few core accumulators dominate demand, while most smaller holders are either waiting or reducing positions.

Quantitative Framework for Supply Contraction

Corporate accumulation is just one facet of the supply contraction story. When multiple forms of "illiquid supply" are combined, the actual tradable Bitcoin quantity is much lower than it appears.

Exchange reserves keep falling. CoinGlass data from May 8, 2026, shows major centralized exchanges collectively hold about 2,451,555 BTC. CryptoQuant reports all exchange reserves have dropped to around 2.21 million BTC, the lowest since early 2018. Binance, OKX, and Gemini have lost nearly 100,000 BTC since February 2026. Meanwhile, CryptoQuant data shows long-term holders (those holding >155 days) control an increasing share, with about 354,000 BTC newly locked up recently and an average of $55 million in BTC flowing out of Binance daily.

Permanently lost coins: a significant deduction. Chainalysis and River Financial estimate that 2.3–3 million BTC are permanently inaccessible due to lost private keys or forgotten wallets, representing 11%–15% of the 21 million total supply.

ETF lock-in effect. US spot Bitcoin ETFs hold about 1,329,881 BTC (as of May 7), corresponding to 6.5%–7% of circulating supply. BlackRock’s IBIT alone holds 813,953.5 BTC. On May 1, spot ETFs saw $345.4 million in new inflows in a single day.

Sovereign holdings expansion. The US government holds about 328,372 seized BTC, making it the world’s largest known sovereign Bitcoin holder, or about 1.56% of circulating supply.

Combining these factors: corporate holdings (~1.22 million BTC) + ETF holdings (~1.33 million BTC) + US government holdings (~330,000 BTC) + long-term holder lockups (~4.37 million BTC) + permanently lost coins (median estimate ~2.65 million BTC)—these "non-freely circulating" Bitcoins total about 9.9 million, while current circulating supply is roughly 19.8 million. This means the actual freely tradable Bitcoin may be less than 50% of total circulation.

It’s important to note that these figures are rough estimates based on multiple sources, and there may be overlap among categories (for example, some of Strategy’s holdings are counted both as corporate and long-term holdings). Actual numbers require more precise cross-verification. But the trend is clear: Bitcoin’s effective circulating supply is undergoing historic structural contraction.

Perspective Breakdown: Three Interpretations of the Corporate Accumulation Wave

The ongoing rise in corporate Bitcoin holdings has sparked three major viewpoints in the market.

Viewpoint 1: Institutionalization is an irreversible long-term trend. Supporters argue that adding Bitcoin to corporate balance sheets is a rational choice for hedging fiat depreciation and optimizing capital allocation. The active participation of non-US firms like Metaplanet is seen as a micro-level manifestation of "de-dollarization"—Asian companies are increasingly using Bitcoin to hedge local currency depreciation risks.

Viewpoint 2: Excessive concentration of holdings breeds systemic risk. Critics point out that the current concentration means a single key player’s actions could trigger major market volatility. In May 2026, Strategy became the focal point of these concerns—its 818,334 BTC gives it the power to influence market expectations. More importantly, LaikaLabs analysis shows that, excluding Strategy’s purchases, corporate Bitcoin demand shrank sharply in Q1, making the entire supply-demand narrative almost entirely reliant on one company.

Viewpoint 3: There’s a gap between "paper demand" and real buying power. JPMorgan analysts noted in April 2026 that total crypto asset inflows in Q1 were only about $11 billion, one-third of the same period in 2025. They believe the current market structure is "fragile" because it depends on a few large corporate buyers rather than a broad participant base. In other words, the 1.15 million BTC headline number masks the fact that accumulation is highly concentrated among a handful of entities.

From "Never Sell" to Dynamic Management: Evolution of Corporate Holding Strategies

One influential narrative in corporate Bitcoin holdings—the "never sell" ethos—is now being reconsidered.

In Q1 2026, listed mining companies became the largest sellers. TheEnergyMag data shows MARA, CleanSpark, Riot, Cango, Core Scientific, and Bitdeer collectively sold over 32,000 BTC, surpassing their total sales in all of 2025 and setting a new single-quarter record. MARA sold 15,133 BTC, Riot Platforms sold 3,778 BTC. These sales are financially necessary: falling Bitcoin prices squeeze mining profits, and debt repayment and operating expenses require cash.

More telling is Strategy’s subtle shift. In May 2026, after three consecutive quarters of losses, Executive Chairman Michael Saylor publicly stated that the company may sell some Bitcoin to meet preferred stock dividend obligations. While this doesn’t signal large-scale selling, it breaks Strategy’s previous "never sell" image. The company posted a net loss of $12.54 billion in Q1, including $14.46 billion in unrealized fair value losses on digital assets.

This isn’t evidence of a "failed accumulation strategy," but rather a sign of maturity. Corporate Bitcoin holding strategies are evolving from simple "buy and hold" to more complex "dynamic management of assets and liabilities." As debt matures, dividends come due, and market prices fluctuate, companies must balance conviction with survival.

Industry Impact: From Corporate Balance Sheets to National Reserve Competition

The growth in corporate holdings is now spreading to broader arenas, most notably sovereign Bitcoin reserve competition.

At the federal level in the US, Senator Cynthia Lummis is advancing the BITCOIN Act, which sets a clear framework: accumulate 1 million BTC over five years and consolidate all government-seized Bitcoin into strategic reserves. At the state level, Texas has passed a strategic Bitcoin reserve bill, and Tennessee, Florida, and North Carolina are pursuing similar legislation.

Internationally, Brazil’s Congress has reintroduced the RESBit bill, aiming to accumulate up to 1 million BTC over five years. The Czech central bank is studying allocating up to 5% of its foreign reserves to Bitcoin. Fidelity’s 2026 outlook describes this as a "Bitcoin arms race between nations."

If sovereign allocations materialize, their impact on supply dynamics will dwarf corporate holdings. The 1.22 million BTC held by corporations has already sparked supply squeeze debates, but sovereign-level million-BTC demand would inject a powerful new long-term driver into Bitcoin’s scarcity narrative.

Conclusion

The fact that corporate treasuries hold 1.2 million BTC doesn’t mean Bitcoin is about to "run out." But it does signal that the underlying parameters of the market have changed—circulating supply is structurally contracting, and buyer concentration is intensifying.

The notion of a "Bitcoin scarcity crisis" deserves careful consideration. Bitcoin’s 21 million total supply is a known constant; scarcity has always been a design feature, not a new "crisis." What’s truly changing is this: as we approach that final state, the share of non-price-sensitive holders (corporations, ETFs, sovereign funds) is systematically rising, meaning the same amount of buyer demand will drive more pronounced price moves.

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