According to the Federal Reserve's April meeting minutes disclosed on May 21, U.S. financial system vulnerabilities remain "warranting attention." Asset valuation pressures are at elevated levels, while household balance sheets remain strong with substantial home equity. Corporate and household debt vulnerabilities are assessed as "moderate," though private credit growth has accelerated; some private credit instruments saw net outflows in the first quarter due to market concerns that artificial intelligence may disrupt business models in certain sectors, particularly software.
Financial sector leverage vulnerabilities are rated as "warranting attention." Hedge fund leverage remains elevated, especially in leveraged Treasury trading, and life insurance companies maintain high leverage levels. By contrast, banks' regulatory capital ratios remain historically elevated, though market-value-adjusted bank capital ratios declined in the first quarter and remain below pre-2022 levels. Bank asset duration has returned to pre-pandemic levels, indicating reduced interest rate risk exposure.