According to Kalshi traders, the probability of the United States and Iran reaching a nuclear agreement before 2027 is rising, the prediction platform data shows.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Iran Retains 75% of Ballistic Missile Launchers Despite Strikes, Can Sustain 3-4 Months Under Blockade: CIA
According to BlockBeats citing U.S. officials, the CIA assessed on May 7 that Iran can sustain at least three to four months under a U.S. naval blockade before facing severe economic hardship. Despite weeks of intensive U.S. and Israeli strikes, Iran maintains approximately 75% of its pre-war mobile
GateNews3h ago
Polymarket's U.S. Return Struggles as CEO Role Limited to Regulatory Filings
According to The Information, Polymarket's attempt to re-enter the U.S. market after a four-year absence is facing significant headwinds. The platform acquired a derivatives and futures exchange with existing U.S. regulatory approval and appointed Justin Hertzberg to lead U.S. operations. However, p
GateNews6h ago
Prediction Market Platform Kalshi Raises $1 Billion at $22 Billion Valuation, Led by Coatue Management
According to ChainCatcher, prediction market platform Kalshi announced the completion of a $1 billion funding round led by Coatue Management, valuing the company at $22 billion. The platform allows users to trade on outcomes of events spanning sports, politics, and weather.
Kalshi reported
GateNews6h ago
Anthropic Valuation Breaks $1.26 Trillion, Surpassing OpenAI for First Time
According to Beating, Anthropic's implicit valuation on Jupiter's Pre-IPO market has surged to $1.26 trillion, surpassing OpenAI for the first time. The valuation has risen 20% over the past 7 days and climbed 900% since October 2025. Polymarket prediction market data shows an 86% probability that A
GateNews6h ago
Polymarket and Kalshi’s cumulative trading volume reaches $150 billion: April monthly volume hits a new high of $21.9 billion
In April, Polymarket and Kalshi’s cumulative trading volume surpassed $150 billion, with a monthly total of $21.9 billion (Kalshi $13.4 billion, Polymarket $8.5 billion), accounting for 85% combined. Since launch, cumulative volume has reached $150 billion; YTD through 4/20, Kalshi is $37.49 billion, Polymarket $29.23 billion, for a combined $66.7 billion. Kalshi is backed by full CFTC oversight and leads with an interface close to sports betting; Polymarket is open to international users, settles in USDC, and covers broader topics. Future watchpoints include CFTC de-restriction negotiations, Polymarket fundraising, and Kalshi valuation trends.
ChainNewsAbmedia7h ago
Kalshi's Non-Farm Payroll Forecasts Show No Edge Over Economists, Average Errors Exceed 60,000 Jobs
According to Bloomberg, Kalshi traders' predictions on U.S. non-farm payroll data showed no significant advantage over Bloomberg survey economists over the past 33 months, with average forecast errors exceeding 60,000 jobs for both groups. In April 2026, when the actual non-farm payroll report showe
GateNews8h ago
