U.S. President Trump plans to establish a Technology Council that will include business leaders such as Zuckerberg, Ellison, and Jensen Huang to discuss artificial intelligence policy. The council will be co-chaired by Sacks and Klacik, with initial members to be announced on Wednesday.

The Trump family plans to hold a cryptocurrency elite event on April 25 in Florida for "Trump Coin" holders, inviting 297 investors to participate. The event has attracted political attention, with Democrats criticizing it as a "crypto corruption club" and questioning Trump's business conduct. The conference has the potential to further draw high-net-worth investors and global crypto industry focus, and in conjunction with the upcoming 2026 midterm elections, related political attacks may intensify.

On Polymarket, 5 accounts have collectively invested $65,400 betting that the U.S. military may enter Iran before May, with the current probability at 51%. Trump has proposed a ceasefire plan, and the market is pricing in modest expectations of U.S.-Iran tensions easing. The Pentagon has deployed approximately 2,000 paratroopers to the Middle East to strengthen U.S. military presence in the region.

According to Gate News, on March 25th, five accounts on the prediction market Polymarket collectively invested $65,400 betting on whether the U.S. military will enter Iran before May, with the current probability at 51%. Trump is seeking a ceasefire with Iran, and the market has reacted strongly to this. Meanwhile, the Pentagon has dispatched approximately 2,000 paratroopers to the Middle East.

The U.S. Senate voted to confirm Marin as Secretary of Homeland Security, calling for swift passage of a budget bill to restart the department. The Department of Homeland Security currently faces a shutdown, with related event probabilities fluctuating. Marin supports Trump's immigration policies and has pledged to reduce media attention.

> Original Title: "Trump, the World's Largest Oil Trader" > Original Author: David, Deep Tide TechFlow How much can a single post be worth? At 7:05 AM ET on March 23, Trump posted an all-caps message on Truth Social, essentially stating: The U.S. and Iran had conducted "very good, productive dialogue" over the past two days, and he has ordered a five-day pause on strikes against Iranian power plants and energy facilities. When this post was published, U.S. stocks hadn't opened yet. But the futures market operates in real-time. Within minutes, Dow Jones futures surged over 1,000 points, and S&P 500 futures rose 2.7%. Brent crude oil plummeted from $113 per barrel directly to $98, a drop of over 13%.

Trump Announces "Productive Dialogue" with Iran; Iran Says It Never Happened. But $1.5 Billion in Futures Trades Were Already Placed 15 Minutes Before the Announcement. 1｜Trump Calls for Peace, but $1.5 Billion Was Already Bet 15 Minutes Before He Spoke ------------------------------ On the morning of March 23 at 6:49 AM, $1.5 billion in S&P 500 futures contracts and $650 million in crude oil futures flooded into the New York futures market. Sixteen minutes later, Trump posted on Truth Social announcing a 5-day pause on bombing Iran's energy infrastructure, claiming both sides had engaged in "very good and productive dialogue." Oil prices flash-crashed 15%, while the S&P surged by $1.7 trillion. Iran's response was three words: it never happened. Iran's Revolutionary Guards stated

Trump announced a delay in military strikes against Iran, triggering a sharp decline in oil prices. Despite claiming effective dialogue with Iran, Iran's parliamentary speaker denied direct negotiations. Trump's threats toward Iran since 2018 have shown a repeated pattern, with only partial follow-through. Looking ahead, three possible scenarios may emerge after the 5-day deadline, with the market holding different expectations for future oil price movements. In this game, both Trump and Iran face internal pressure, and the choice between negotiations and military action will influence the situation's development.

QCP Group points out that Trump's ultimatum to Iran failed to materialize, and the market stabilized briefly. Despite BTC breaking below 70,000, its resilience has strengthened. With U.S. national debt exceeding 3.9 trillion, stagflation concerns intensify, and central banks face policy dilemmas. Iran proposed settling transit fees in yuan, and the market should monitor shifts in BTC.

The rise in US Treasury yields may influence the Trump administration's decision-making in conflict with Iran and indirectly impact Bitcoin's trajectory. Changes in key yields and swap spreads will determine market sentiment and policy adjustments, requiring investors to monitor macroeconomic risks.