# 美联储维持利率不变

Monday, the rebound theme continues to dominate!
The market experienced a sharp pullback in the early morning hours, with a 24-hour decline exceeding 3.5%, testing lows near 67,360, as the market entered a phase of cyclical adjustment.
From a technical perspective, the daily MACD has formed a death cross, with RSI at relatively low levels; the 4-hour level broke below moving average support, with Bollinger Bands opening downward, indicating a weak short-term trend.
Overall market sentiment is cautious, with limited buying interest from bulls, and short-term volatility has intensified. On-chain

$BTC
📅 April Federal Reserve Rate Decision Window: The "Undercurrents" in Consensus
​Currently, CME interest rate swap pricing shows a 87.6% probability of maintaining rates unchanged in April, which should be a foregone conclusion of "holding steady."
However, what truly warrants vigilance is that 12.4% rate hike expectation — this probability has doubled since early month, reflecting deep market anxiety about "secondary inflation."
​Core Logic Analysis:
​Hard landing inflation concerns: Recent strength in energy prices and service sector resilience have blurred the return path of PCE data,

Reviewing yesterday's Bitcoin price action, affected by the US stock market decline and hawkish rhetoric, the price fell throughout the day after opening. It broke through the critical 70,000 level at midday, causing panic and dropping to a low of 68,796 for the day. Before closing, there was a slight rebound, which barely recovered above the 70,000 mark. We deployed short positions at multiple intervals during different waves yesterday, and subsequently took profits in batches, securing around 1,200 points safely.
Looking at the current price action first from the moving averages: the hourly

【$LYN】Short, Explosive Rally Followed by Price-Volume Divergence/Heavy Selling Pressure Above
$LYN This 52% explosive rally looks exciting, but the capital has already fallen behind. Two consecutive K-lines on the 4-hour level showing long upper wicks, price reaching new highs but trading volume shrinking in steps—a typical pump-and-dump pattern. Sell orders are piling up heavily above 0.1065, active buying power is clearly exhausted, chasing at the current level is catching a falling knife.
🎯 Direction: Short🚀 Target: 0.0820⚡ Entry: 0.1060 - 0.1075🛑 Stop Loss: 0.1120🛡️ Strategy: Build po

Dollar "Hemorrhaging," Liquidity Repositioning
The dollar index under pressure, plunging over 1%! During global "super central bank week," the big players—US, UK, EU, and others—collectively held steady (maintained rates), indicating that inflation rebound hasn't driven the Fed crazy yet.
Signal: Dollar weak, crypto strong. The liquidity tap remains open, which is the bulls' confidence.
Netanyahu signals: Pausing attacks on energy facilities. Trump personally intervened to stop it, meaning extreme inflation expectations triggered by Iranian oil and gas fields have temporarily dissipated.
Signa

Downtrend blocked, trade rebounds cautiously. Major trend reversal, enter on bounce! 3.20 Bitcoin and Ethereum strategy
Initial jobless claims slightly bullish, but Powell's comments had too much impact. US stocks opened and closed lower, crypto followed suit, only bouncing at dawn. Yesterday Ethereum looked strong, waited for dip to 2100 to try a long. Bitcoin entered at 69000, currently up slightly!
Daily three consecutive red candles, price closed near the midline. This morning's long lower wick shows downside resistance, chart indicators KDJ three lines dead cross diverging downward, MACD

3.19 Big Pie and Altcoin Evening Strategy
Brothers, many people got shaken out in this wave, but I want to say one thing: this is exactly when opportunities emerge most easily!
From the 1-hour and 4-hour structure perspective, although the price is under pressure around 69K right now, we need to focus on the core points.
First, shorts are accelerating their liquidation, sentiment has nearly reached its limit
The 1-hour level shows consecutive red candles with MACD death cross on volume increase, but it's already entering the "exhaustion zone." This drop is not the start of a trend, but the tai