My cryptocurrency story begins with Bitcoin HIS GPU miners in 2012. P Trader | Crypto technical pattern analysis, teaching and writing as a first-person instructor.

PaiCrypto

1h ago

June opens its doors. This week, I’m not watching the 72k level, but whether the ETF outflow has slowed down.
Honestly, the cleanest signal in this cycle isn’t any candlestick pattern, but the daily ETF flow direction.
When inflows happen, no one dares to say it’s going down.
After continuous outflows, the market is secretly doing one thing — pricing in a colder summer.
The S&P is still rising, while crypto is still being drained.
The first bet in June isn’t about the level. It’s about when the money is willing to come back.
If the money doesn’t come back in a day, all rebounds are

SPX-1.31%

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PaiCrypto

1h ago

2 billion. The net outflow of BTC and ETH ETFs in May is exactly this amount.
When ETFs launched last year, everyone was calculating "how much institutions can buy."
Pensions, hedge funds, family offices, trillions in scale divided into small cups, which is enormous.
Everyone's calculations are correct. But there's one thing few people talk about.
ETFs are not only a way to buy, but also a way to sell.
In May, the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high for nine consecutive weeks, and the same group of institutions was buying stocks with their left hand and selling coins with their right han

BTC-2.14%

ETH-1.95%

SPX-1.31%

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PaiCrypto

8h ago

As May comes to an end, Bitcoin goes from where it started back to where it started. Prices haven’t changed; the direction of the money has.
A week ago, BTC was still at 77k, it dipped to 72.5k on Thursday, and today it’s 73.8k. Over the course of a month, it’s basically gone nowhere, while the S&P has been rising for nine straight weeks. Under the same macro environment, there are two completely opposite voting outcomes. The US stock market is betting on a soft landing, while the crypto market is tightening liquidity through trading. One of them has to be wrong.
In May, ETFs ran more than

BTC-2.14%

SPX-1.31%

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PaiCrypto

21h ago

🇺🇸 Market Closure Essay
SPY is two dollars away from hitting a new all-time high. Q is three steps away from its peak. The Technology ETF XLK gained 2.2% over the week, hitting a new high close to its face.
But one person didn't follow.
NVDA, slid down 11% from its high. The most certain name in AI, fell behind in this rally.
This isn't a bad thing. Last year, it was all supported by NVDA; when it coughed, the entire sector ran a fever. Now, with SPY approaching a new high and NVDA moving downward, the story of gains is no longer the same.
Money is flowing from AI arms manufacturer

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PaiCrypto

05-31 09:51

U.S. stocks have risen for nine consecutive weeks, and crypto ETFs have moved 2 billion dollars. Looking back on the last day of May, the same macro environment, two different worlds.
BTC started at 74k and returned to 74k, the price didn't change, but the flow of money did. The combined ETFs of BTC and ETH saw outflows of over 2 billion USD in May. During the same period, the S&P 500 rose from 7400 to 7580. Institutions are selling coins to buy stocks, and this is the most honest report card for May.
ETH fluctuates around 2000, SOL around 80. The term "altcoin season" is no longer mention

BTC-2.14%

ETH-1.95%

SPX-1.31%

SOL-2.21%

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GateUser-2d394591:

Bull Run 🐂

PaiCrypto

05-31 09:47

U.S. stocks have risen for nine consecutive weeks, and crypto ETFs have run up 2 billion dollars. Looking back on the last day of May, two different worlds under the same macro environment.
BTC started at 74k and returned to 74k, the price unchanged, but the flow of money has shifted. The combined ETFs of BTC and ETH saw outflows of over 2 billion USD in May. During the same period, the S&P 500 rose from 7400 to 7580. Institutions are selling coins to buy stocks, and this is the most honest report card for May.
ETH fluctuates around 2000, SOL around 80. The term "altcoin season" is no long

BTC-2.14%

ETH-1.95%

SPX-1.31%

SOL-2.21%

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SpringIsHere,AndTheFlowersAre:

Buy the dip 😎

PaiCrypto

05-31 01:45

Monday 77k, Thursday 72.5k, now 74k.
Honestly, this week was not sideways. It was a real decline. On Monday, it was still above 77k, by Wednesday it broke through 74k, and on Thursday it touched the lower boundary of the daily channel at 72.5k.
Three thousand points lost in a week. The fear index is at 28, not yet at extreme fear.
What does that mean? Some people still haven't cut their losses.
Next week, I will only watch one number, 72.5k.
The bottom formed on Thursday. If we hit it again next week, it’s likely to break.
If it breaks, look at 70k.
If 70k breaks again, all the g

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PaiCrypto

05-31 01:39

Monday 77k, Thursday 72.5k, now 74k.
Honestly, this week was not sideways. It was a real decline. On Monday, it was still above 77k, by Wednesday it broke below 74k, and on Thursday it touched the lower boundary of the daily channel at 72.5k.
Three thousand points lost in one week. The fear index is at 28, not yet at extreme fear.
What does that mean? Some people still haven't cut their losses.
Next week, I will only watch one number, 72.5k.
The bottom formed on Thursday. If we hit it again next week, it’s likely to break.
If it breaks, look at 70k.
If 70k breaks again, all the g

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PaiCrypto

05-30 14:37

🇺🇸 Market Closure Reflection
#NVDA 周五跌了1.45%，但 #XLK rose by 2.23%. The same sector, moving in the opposite direction.
This is not the first time. Over the past few weeks, NVDA dropped from $236 to $211, while the overall tech sector hit new all-time highs. The money for AI hasn't left; it's just not on NVDA anymore. Software, cloud computing, cybersecurity—these are now the sectors taking over.
There's a growing feeling: NVDA has become the TSLA of 2021. Everyone is still talking about it, but those making money are no longer relying on it.
Gold also quietly increased by 1%, and the VIX drop

NVDA1.58%

TSLA-1.23%

XAUUSD-0.74%

VIX1.26%

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PaiCrypto

05-30 14:32

NVDA1.58%

TSLA-1.23%

XAUUSD-0.74%

VIX0.89%

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PaiCrypto

05-30 08:33

Wow, the world after X knocks down the language barrier🌍
It opened my eyes.
Europe, America, Japan, Korea
People from all over the world gather together🥳
I am from China, and I hope that you see this tweet. No matter where you are from, at this moment I wish you happiness, joy, and bliss! Every day!

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PaiCrypto

05-30 02:33

Figure 3: Super-Objective Data Reasoning Expectations
I personally believe that only a super black swan event would cause such an extremely extreme market trend. The objective data reasoning in Figure 2 itself includes the statistical results of the specific impact of historical black swan events on cyclical prices, thereby inferring the objective price range at the bottom of Figure 2.
Price Range: Around 30K at the lower boundary of the weekly channel
Specific trend chart projection: 👇

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PaiCrypto

05-30 02:29

Figure 2: Reasoning Based on Historical Objective Data
October-November 2026
A price low point occurs, marking the end of this bear market cycle.
The price bottom is in the range of: 56.8k-44k.
Specific trend chart projection: 👇

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