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Goldman Sachs Warns U.S. Stock Valuations at Risk if 10-Year Treasury Yields Hit 5%, Ahead of Warsh's First FOMC Meeting

GateNews
StocksIndices
According to Goldman Sachs trading chief Tony Pasquariello, a 10-year U.S. Treasury yield of 5% marks the threshold where stock valuations face systemic pressure, as Fed chair Kevin Warsh prepares for his first FOMC meeting. Based on historical data, Goldman Sachs identified that yields rising by two standard deviations within a month typically trigger systemic valuation pressure in stocks. Currently, this critical level sits near 5%, though the market has not yet breached this line. The investment bank noted that while bond market volatility has increased, U.S. stocks have not entered a rate-driven risk phase. Separately, Goldman's U.S. strategy team projected mega-cap cloud providers' 2027 capital expenditure could reach or exceed $1 trillion, versus current consensus estimates of $920 billion, reflecting bullish expectations for AI infrastructure spending momentum.
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