Madison Square Garden in New York witnessed the most unbelievable night in NBA Finals history.
On the evening of June 10 local time, Game 4 of the 2025-26 NBA Finals kicked off here. With the New York Knicks trailing by 27 points at halftime and by as many as 29 points at their worst during the game, they survived and edged out the San Antonio Spurs 107:106 thanks to OG Anunoby’s game-winning putback with 1.2 seconds left, rewriting the series score to 3:1 and first securing a chance at a clinch.
This is the biggest comeback with a largest deficit in NBA Finals history—previously, the record was 24 points, set by the 2008 Boston Celtics. The Knicks trailed 52:81 at one point in the third quarter, down 29 points, but then unleashed a suffocating defensive counterattack, suppressing the Spurs’ shooting accuracy in the second half to 20.5% (8-for-39).
OG Anunoby exploded for 33 points, going 7-of-9 from three, and went 6-for-6 from the free-throw line, putting up astonishing efficiency. Jalen Brunson added a team-high 36 points, 5 rebounds, 7 assists, and 3 steals in 44 minutes. For the Spurs, Victor Wembanyama recorded 24 points, 13 rebounds, and 3 blocks, but in the second half he went only 3-for-14; the two missed free throws at a critical moment became the turning point.
Photo: NBA
Market signal: Gate’s prediction market puts Knicks’ championship odds at 82%
The epic comeback in G4 was quickly reflected in crypto prediction markets.
According to Gate’s latest prediction market data, the Knicks’ probability of winning the NBA championship has surged to 82%, while the Spurs’ title odds have fallen to 19%. This shift directly reflects the collective judgment of market participants on the series: the Knicks have firmly taken absolute control.
Even before the Finals began, Gate had already directly integrated Polymarket, the world’s largest decentralized prediction market, into its platform—making it the world’s first centralized exchange to complete this integration. Users don’t need to connect an external wallet; they can trade in prediction markets directly inside the Gate App using USDT. During the NBA Finals from June 6, Gate set the highest record for daily trading volume on Polymarket’s partner channel.
The core mechanism of on-chain prediction markets is probabilistic pricing based on collective intelligence. Participants express their views on outcomes with real funds, and market prices实时 reflect every trader’s collective expectations. After the Knicks completed a 29-point turnaround in G4, a large amount of capital quickly poured into the Knicks’ camp, pushing their championship odds from roughly 55% before G4 to 82%.
Historical data: Only one 3-1 reversal in NBA Finals
The Spurs are facing the toughest comeback challenge in NBA history.
Across the entire history of the NBA Finals, only one team has ever completed a comeback from an 1-3 situation— the 2016 Cleveland Cavaliers (led by LeBron James). Down 1-3, they won three straight to beat the Golden State Warriors and capture the title.
In addition, in NBA Finals history, 23 teams have dragged the series to a Game 7 after being down 1-3, but only the 2016 Cavaliers ultimately prevailed.
This historical data means the Spurs’ odds of a comeback are about 4.3% (1/23). That differs from the 19% currently shown on Gate’s prediction market, reflecting the market’s premium pricing for the Spurs’ core superstar potential, Victor Wembanyama.
It’s also worth noting that the Knicks’ 29-point turnaround in G4 itself created a new Finals record. The previous record for the largest Finals comeback was 24 points, set by the 2008 Celtics against the Lakers. The Knicks raised that record by a full 5 points.
Gate prediction market: More than prediction—it’s participation
For people in the crypto industry and NBA fans alike, Gate’s prediction market offers more than just a window to watch game results—it’s a trading tool for actively pricing events in depth.
On Gate Polymarket, prediction markets allow users to trade the probability in real time. If you believe the Spurs’ current 19% championship odds are undervalued, you can buy Spurs shares at the current price; if the Spurs win G5 and bring the score to 2:3, their market share will rise quickly and you can sell for profit before the series ends.
Gate is currently running a special event for NBA Finals predictions, with a prize pool of 20,000 USDT. Active users who complete prediction trades of at least 20 USDT can receive rewards, and new users who complete KYC and make their first prediction trade can earn an additional 10 USDT. All rewards are distributed in the form of Polymarket prediction market trial vouchers, and the resulting profit can be fully withdrawn.
The participation path is extremely convenient: open the Gate App → navigate to Alpha → Polymarket prediction market → basketball events, and you can enter the NBA Finals prediction special section.
Green-field prophet: Gate prediction market World Cup event limited-time launch
While keeping an eye on the NBA Finals, Gate prediction market (Gate Polymarket) also rolls out a limited-time event for the 2026 world football extravaganza, “Green-field Prophet.” The total prize pool exceeds 500,000 USDT, running from June 4 to July 21, 2026. Users can register to claim prediction coupons for free; completing tasks such as spot, futures, CFDs, and VIP upgrades will earn additional experience vouchers and prediction coupons for participating in football event predictions. The top 100 on the prediction points leaderboard will split 30,000 USDT and receive limited-edition jersey gift boxes, and there is a separate championship prediction prize pool of 5,000 USDT. VIP users can also enjoy exclusive registration rewards and jersey gift boxes. Log in to Gate now to register and enjoy World Cup prediction fun in the prediction market experience.
Conclusion
Game 5 will move to the Spurs’ home court, Frost Bank Center, on June 13 (Saturday) Beijing time. If the Knicks win, they will lift the Larry O‘Brien championship trophy for the first time since 1973—after a long 53-year wait.
Judging by the price signals from Gate prediction market, the market has basically treated the Knicks as the favorites. Behind the 82% odds is the complete reshaping of market sentiment from that 29-point G4 turnaround. The resilience and execution the Knicks have shown really do merit such a probability premium.
But the 19% is by no means something to ignore either— the 2016 Cavaliers pulled off the only historic massive comeback in a similarly undervalued situation. If the Spurs want to replicate that miracle, they must fight for their lives in Game 5 at home, while hoping Wembanyama regains the dominance he showed in the first half and completely shuts down the Knicks’ two-core driving force.
No matter the final outcome, Gate prediction market has already proven this: blockchain technology is reshaping how people participate in sports events. Prediction is no longer just something talked about after the games—it becomes a decision before tip-off. Every USDT put in is a judgment and a bet on the future.
